For Ravens General Manager Ozzie Newsome, trading in the NFL Draft is like rooting for Alabama.
It's second nature.
The last time Newsome didn't make a draft-day trade was 2001, a whopping 14 years ago.
He almost made it last year, but traded back into the seventh round to take wide receiver Michael Campanaro when it appeared the Ravens' day was done.
While Newsome stayed in his original first-round draft position the past two years, at No. 17 to take linebacker C.J. Mosley last May and at No. 32 to take safety Matt Elam the year before, he's also made a trade with his top pick in five of the past nine drafts.
Judging by history, the chances of Newsome making a trade this year are high.
Here are five possible trade scenarios, using the NFL's widely-accepted trade chart to assess the value of picks to find fair swaps:
(Note: Newsome would never divulge his draft plans to anyone, including BaltimoreRavens.com. These trade scenarios are solely conjecture.)
1. Ravens move up six spots in the first round to get in the Top 20
Why: There are some very talented top-10 players that could tumble because of red flags. For example, Nebraska pass rusher Randy Gregory failed his drug test at the NFL Scouting Combine. There is concern about Missouri pass rusher Shane Ray's foot, leading to questions about whether he'll have problems with turf toe. Georgia running back Todd Gurley is coming off an ACL tear. If any of these players start tumbling, the Ravens could move up to grab them.
Closest example: Baltimore moved up eight spots in 2008 to grab quarterback Joe Flacco, giving up first-, third- and sixth-round selections to Houston.
What the chart says it would cost: Ravens' first (No. 26 overall), third (No. 90) and sixth-round picks (No. 203)
2. Ravens move up three spots in first round
Why: As players are drafted before the Ravens are on the clock, those in Baltimore's war room will have a group of players they will consider taking at No. 26. If those players start getting plucked faster than they predicted, and Newsome fears the last one of that group could be taken before he's on the clock, the general manager could make a slight move up in the first round.
Closest example: The Ravens moved up three spots to draft tackle Michael Oher in 2009. They gave their first- and fifth-round selections to New England.
What the chart says it would cost:Ravens' first (No. 26) and fourth-round pick (No. 122)
3. Ravens trade back into second round
Why:If the Ravens don't have a player valued high enough on their board to justify using the 26th pick, they'll trade back once they're on the clock. They could also do this if there are multiple players still remaining that they would take, and they feel like they could get at least one of them later on.
Closest example: In 2012, Newsome saw outside linebacker Courtney Upshaw tumbling down draft boards, and he also liked some other players still remaining. He moved back six spots and got an extra fourth-round pick. Newsome still got Upshaw.
What the chart says it would cost: If the Ravens moved back seven spots to the first pick of the second round, they could also get the first pick of the fourth round (No. 97).
4. Baltimore moves up 10 spots in the second round
Why: Perhaps a player of need is slipping further than the Ravens believe they should. Ravens Owner Steve Bisciotti talked about the possibility of moving up in the second round to grab Minnesota tight end Maxx Williams, who is considered the best at his position. Baltimore would likely try to guess which team would take that player, and try to jump ahead.
Closest example: In 2013, the Ravens moved up six spots in the second round to grab linebacker Arthur Brown one spot ahead of the Texans, who were in need of an inside linebacker.
What the chart says it would cost: Baltimore's fourth-round (No. 122) and fifth-round (No. 158) picks.
5. Ravens move up a few spots in the third round
Why: There's a lot of talent in this year's draft, and there will still be quality players available in the third round who could make an immediate impact. Baltimore has multiple needs, most pressingly at tight end, cornerback and wide receiver. Perhaps they could move up to fill one of those needs with a player they highly value.
Closest example: In 2011, Newsome pulled the trigger to go up five spots and get tackle Jah Reid. They traded their third-round (No. 90) and sixth-round (No. 191) picks.
What the chart says it would cost: The Ravens' third- (No. 90) and seventh-round (No. 203)* *picks.